CASPIAN JOURNAL

MANAGEMENT AND HIGH TECHNOLOGIES

DEVELOPMENT OF AN ALGORITHM FOR PREDICTING AN EMERGENCY SITUATION ON BOARD AN AIRCRAFT

Read Kulik Aleksey A. DEVELOPMENT OF AN ALGORITHM FOR PREDICTING AN EMERGENCY SITUATION ON BOARD AN AIRCRAFT // Caspian journal : management and high technologies. — 2021. — №4. — pp. 9-17.

Kulik Aleksey A. - Bauman Moscow State Technical University

An algorithm for predicting an emergency situation on board an aircraft is proposed. Its principle of operation is aimed at determining the values that characterize the change in variables that affect the safety of air flight of an aircraft. This information is used to evaluate the predicted air flight conditions of an aircraft. The advantage of the proposed algorithm is to increase the effectiveness of threat identification. In addition, the degree of influence of the identified incident during the air flight of an aircraft is determined. For this purpose, the variation of the variables under consideration is predicted, which determine the degree of safety of an aircraft's air flight. The paper presents the results of modeling the operation of an algorithm for predicting an emergency situation of an aircraft flight when changing the flight of an aircraft under difficult initial conditions. The modeling took into account the change in the psychophysical state of the crew and the technical condition of the control object. The proposed algorithm makes it possible, based on forecasting, to identify the threat of an air accident, as well as to parry it based on the appropriate actions of the crew, as well as the aircraft's automatic control system. For implementation, it is advisable to use the appropriate software and hardware complexes that are part of the onboard equipment of an aircraft.

Key words: flight safety control system, aircraft, decision support device, emergency forecasting