CASPIAN JOURNAL

MANAGEMENT AND HIGH TECHNOLOGIES

Mathematical models implementation for evaluation of regional staple food self-sufficiency as an element of regional agro-industrial complex management (on the example of the Astrakhan region)

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Mansurov R.Ye. Mathematical models implementation for evaluation of regional staple food self-sufficiency as an element of regional agro-industrial complex management (on the example of the Astrakhan region) // Caspian journal : management and high technologies. — 2017. — №2. — pp. 133-144.

Mansurov R.Ye. - Cand. Sci. (Econonic), Associate Professor, Kazan Innovation University naned V. G. Timiryasov, 42 Moscovskaya St., Kazan, 420111, Russian Federation, gissoft@bk.ru

Based on the analysis of modern food security in the Russian Federation, it is deemed necessary to develop efficient indicators, reflecting the level of staple food self-sufficiency of regions. At present, no such indicators are used in the system of regional management of the agro-industrial complex (AIC). Based on generalization of existing approaches, the author proposes original methodology for rating the staple food self-sufficiency level of regions and their administrative-territorial units. This methodology can be used in the system of the AIC at the federal and local levels. Employing this methodology, it is possible to rank the regions according to the degree of their staple food self-sufficiency. This allows to pay primary attention to the development of underperforming agricultural and food directions and make appropriate management decisions. The described methodology was tested in the Astrakhan Region (AR). The total rating value of the staple food for the AR is equal to 0.591, it was obtained from the analysis of the situation in the Astrakhan region, taking into account the climatic features of the region, and indicates that if we consider staple food self-sufficiency of the region, it is generally satisfactory. However, there are reserves, as the maximum possible rating is 1. The article also presents the ranking of the AR districts, based on the level of their staple food self-sufficiency. The proposed methodology can be used to assess the situation in different regions of the country. Its potential permits to develop and implement efficient management solutions on the regional and federal level, including the situations when summary expenditure is limited in the whole country.

Key words: food security, food self-sufficiency, agro-industrial complex, regional control of agro-industrial complex, rating evaluation, regional development of the agro-industrial complex, a rating of food security, economic security, regional management of the ag