CASPIAN JOURNAL

MANAGEMENT AND HIGH TECHNOLOGIES

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Zaynutdinov Rustem A.  // Caspian journal : management and high technologies. — 2012. — №2. — pp. 140-145.

Zaynutdinov Rustem A. - master degree in technique and technology, Astrakhan State University, 414056, Russia, Astrakhan, 20a, Tatishchev st., rzain30@gmail.com.

The analysis of the statistical data about a power consumption of municipal unions of the Astrakhan region by applying the theory of technocoenosis for the period from 2005 to 2010. As the individual of technocoenosis is considered the municipal union. The information database about a power consumption of 159 individuals is created. Ranging of municipal unions (MU) on value of a power consumption is carried out. The first rank is appropriated individuals (МU) with the greatest value of parameter (power consumption), the second – individuals with the greatest value, except the first, etc. The rank of the individual is the complex characteristic defining a place in ordered distribution. Rank parametrical distributions which visually reflect distribution of individuals on power consumption at technocoenosis are constructed. By results of creation of rank parametrical distributions the equations of analytical dependence on power consumption for individuals (MU) from 2005 to 2010 are received. Further, the method of the smallest modules carries out approximation of rank distributions. For revealing of objects with an abnormal power consumption is carried out interval estimation. The municipal unions which have not got to a confidential interval, demand updating in power consumption. In territory of the municipal unions which have appeared below a confidential interval, building of power stations with use of renewable sources is recommended.

Key words: technocoenosis,municipal unions of the Astrakhan region,a power consumption,solar power stations,rank analysis