CASPIAN JOURNAL
MANAGEMENT AND HIGH TECHNOLOGIES
Entering metric characteristics in solving problems of risk assessment and management
 |
Read | Azhmukhamedov I.M., Vybornova O.N. Entering metric characteristics in solving problems of risk assessment and management // Caspian journal : management and high technologies. — 2015. — №4. — pp. 10-22. |
Azhmukhamedov I.M. - D.Sc. (Engineering), Associate Professor, Astrakhan State Technical University, 16 Tatishchev St., Astrakhan, 414056, Russian Federation, aim_agtu@mail.ru
Vybornova O.N. - post-graduate student, Astrakhan State Technical University, 16 Tatishchev St., Astrakhan, 414056, Russian Federation, olga.vyb.90@gmail.com
Risk management process represents the complex problem having a number of specific features. Ambiguity of the concept В«riskВ», variety of manifestations of risks and opportunities of overcoming of their adverse effects are aggravated with that, the most part of the parameters considered in the course of development of management decisions, have no accurate (numerical) characteristics. Estimates of the majority of concepts are formulated by experts in a verbal form. For overcoming of the specified difficulties in work the method of a numerical assessment of levels of the acceptable is offered and tolerant is risk, and also costs of decrease in the current risk level due to acceptance of some measures. The entered metrics give the chance in number to estimate, the current situation is how dangerous, and also to compare situations among themselves. The algorithm of process of search and acceptance of optimum management decisions for decrease in value of the current risk to the target objective is offered. The developed mathematical model can be the basis for the corresponding software intended for support of decision making in the sphere of a risk management.
Key words: риск, риск-менеджмент, приемлемый риск, толерантный риск, риск-аппетит, «текущий риск», метрические характеристики, степень опасности ситуации, стратегии снижения риска, «стоимость» снижения риска, risk, risk management, acceptable risk, tolerant risk, ri